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GeopolitiAAUC continues to influence markets



In our Investment Outlook 2019, we identified three themes for the new year: 1) interest rate normalization, 2) regional economic divergence, and 3) new geopolitical regimes.

Below, we put these themes in the context of recent market developments, placing a special emphasis on the “new geopolitical regime.”
 

Gérald Moser
Multi-Asset Strategist


Interest rate normalization made headlines in December, as financial markets moved to price in a higher risk of a recession. This led the market to go as far as pricing in rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2019. While we have changed our forecast for the timing of the two hikes we expect later in the year, we believe that the Fed will continue to normalize interest rates. The first few days of the year suggest that markets are slowly moving back to a more optimistic growth view. In light of weaker manufacturing activity, our Investment Committee has shifted to a neutral tactical view on broad commodities, with a preference for oil only. We still see a long-term opportunity for commodities to do relatively well over the year.

Divergences in EM equities

As for our second theme, some of the divergences in developed markets (DM) are reversing, while divergences in emerging markets (EM) could persist. This is reflected in performance, with Brazilian equities significantly outperforming markets in Turkey and South Africa last year. We are negative on South African equities and, in fact, now expect the entire Eastern Europe, Middle East & Africa region to underperform the broad EM equity index. Yet, we would expect divergences in DM to diminish somewhat in 2019. US leading indicators are starting to provide evidence of this, declining from very high levels and starting to close the gap with Japanese and Eurozone indicators.
 
Geopolitical events still impacting markets

Most of the geopolitical drivers from last year continue to make headlines at the start of 2019, and are impacting market sentiment. First and foremost, trade tensions between the USA and China continue to simmer. The latest developments would suggest that, as we expected, an agreement is likely to be found before the end of March, meaning that no additional tariffs are likely to be levied on Chinese exports to the USA. Yet, other political issues such as Brexit or the confrontation between a Democrat-controlled House of Representatives and President Trump, currently resulting in a protracted government shutdown, are likely to continue to keep geopolitiAAUC in the spotlight.






Important Information:

This part of the material: (i) aims to provide macro-market commentary; (ii) does not contain any statements or advice in relation to any specific marketable security or financial product; and (iii) does not take into account your personal circumstances and should not be treated as any form of regulated financial advice, legal, tax or other regulated service.
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General Discussion / NewEnglandcoin Twitter bounty and Graphic Redesign bounty
« Last post by honglu69 on March 25, 2019, 02:13:48 am »
Twitter Bounty

Follow NENG twitter and receive 100,000 NENG on Twitter Bounty to up to 1000 winners

Graphic Redesign Bounty


Top one award: 90.9 million NENG
Top 10 Winners: 500,000 NENG / person
Event Timing:  March 25, 2019 - April 30 2019
Event Address:  NewEnglandcoin DISCORD at:  https://discord.gg/UPeBwgs

Please complete above Twitter Bounty requirement first.  Then
follow Below Steps to qualify for the Bounty:
(1) Required:  submit your own designed NENG logo picture in gif, png jpg or any other common graphic file format into DISCORD "bounty-submission" board
(2) Optional:  submit a second graphic for logo or any other marketing purposes into "bounty-submission"  board. 
(3) Complete below form.

 Please limit your submission to no more than two total. Delete any wrongly submitted or undesired graphics in the board.  Contact DISCORD @honglu69#5911  or @krypton#6139 if you have any issues.

Twitter/Graphic Redesign bounty sign up:
https://goo.gl/forms/L0vcwmVi8c76cR7m1
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Altcoin Discussion / Hydro Bitcoin Mining Investment Project
« Last post by ayuluv on March 23, 2019, 12:39:16 pm »
Dear All,

If you are mining Bitcoin and looking for solutions to stay positive despite the current bear price and electricity bills, this project might be able to solve your problem

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5123775.msg50276673#msg50276673
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General Discussion / Re: is Bruce still alive?
« Last post by honglu69 on March 23, 2019, 03:34:26 am »
Bruce certainly has done very good job of maintaining all the servers: f1cx, EO, this forum.

But he told me and is clear to everyone, that he is only "maintaining" exiting feature, no new feature.
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General Discussion / Re: is Bruce still alive?
« Last post by honglu69 on March 23, 2019, 03:32:45 am »
i want just to know if Bruce id alive or not

You can click and see his account activity:
https://talk.marinecoin.info/index.php?action=profile;u=1
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General Discussion / is Bruce still alive?
« Last post by MaeStro on March 22, 2019, 06:36:17 pm »
i want just to know if Bruce id alive or not
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Although I respect Bruce very much, I think MTC relies too much on Bruce's decision-making at present. It seems fair, but it is dictatorship. MTC can't turn without Bruce at present! MTC has not really started to turn in practice.

I know this feelings.  That is why my current project NewEnglandcoin strictly follow decentralization and no single person or entity control NENG just like bitcoin.

I am still not willing to give up Marinecoin.  Bruce has done tramendous work for MTC.  If he owns majority of MTC, I am pretty sure community has no issue with that. The key is continuation of project.  As of now, option future trading, f1cx still is valuable MTC eco system. Let's all wait and hopefully Bruce will come and return to MTC dev work.  I also has gut feeling that something personal issues happened to Bruce so that he may need a period of rest or handling before he is willing to return.  Right now is pause, just sit and wait.
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There are a lot more CPU miners on NewEnglandcoin  than months ago when I first posted on bitcointalk altcoin mining thread.  At that point, my old linux PC can mine 1.5 million NENG per day on Cheetah.
Now the reward is much less, maybe 1/5 of what used to be.  Still CPU mining can be fun and less demanding if you only do it casually on your own PC when you work or read online. It can be on low resource without affecting other activities.  It adds a reward on Desktop PC or laptop.  Running a full node,  mining 300,000 NENG per day on a PC is still quite impressive rewarding CPU mining experience.

GPU solo miners and small ASIC solo miners probably are the dominant force on DynDiff Scrypt coin NENG mining together with CPU miners.  Big ASIC miners are disadvantaged by the new algorithm hard fork upgrade recently. 
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Cheetah_CpuMiner officially suport linux  Ubuntu 18.04  machine.  Readme documentation on front page has been updated on Ubuntu 18.04 CPU mining on NENG:
https://github.com/ShorelineCrypto/cheetah_cpuminer
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NewEnglandcoin v1.2.1.1 released at: https://github.com/ShorelineCrypto/NewEnglandCoin/releases

This release mainly add feature of supporting linux Ubuntu 18.04 amd64 platform.  For other OS, there is no change on code verses the v1.2.1
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